Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000428 0.000476 0.000529 0.000593 0.000667 0.000752 0.000857
2024-12-22 0.000348 0.000412 0.000489 0.000590 0.000721 0.000889 0.001124
2024-12-29 0.000303 0.000375 0.000467 0.000596 0.000779 0.001035 0.001438
2025-01-05 0.000273 0.000350 0.000453 0.000606 0.000838 0.001192 0.001810
2025-01-12 0.000244 0.000321 0.000428 0.000595 0.000862 0.001297 0.002134
2025-01-19 0.000230 0.000309 0.000425 0.000613 0.000931 0.001492 0.002684
2025-01-26 0.000207 0.000284 0.000397 0.000588 0.000924 0.001548 0.002981
2025-02-02 0.000195 0.000271 0.000389 0.000592 0.000967 0.001708 0.003576
2025-02-09 0.000186 0.000265 0.000388 0.000608 0.001035 0.001936 0.004460
2025-02-16 0.000179 0.000258 0.000385 0.000621 0.001098 0.002172 0.005520
2025-02-23 0.000173 0.000254 0.000388 0.000643 0.001185 0.002495 0.007109
2025-03-02 0.000166 0.000247 0.000382 0.000649 0.001238 0.002748 0.008693
2025-03-09 0.000155 0.000233 0.000365 0.000633 0.001242 0.002888 0.010045
2025-03-16 0.000147 0.000224 0.000357 0.000634 0.001290 0.003181 0.012574
2025-03-23 0.000141 0.000218 0.000353 0.000642 0.001356 0.003568 0.016391
2025-03-30 0.000136 0.000212 0.000350 0.000653 0.001434 0.004039 0.022027
2025-04-06 0.000129 0.000203 0.000338 0.000640 0.001446 0.004281 0.026679
2025-04-13 0.000126 0.000200 0.000340 0.000660 0.001555 0.004984 0.039175
2025-04-20 0.000118 0.000189 0.000322 0.000633 0.001516 0.005021 0.043820
2025-04-27 0.000114 0.000184 0.000318 0.000637 0.001578 0.005582 0.060862
2025-05-04 0.000111 0.000182 0.000320 0.000655 0.001689 0.006495 0.097218
2025-05-11 0.000109 0.000180 0.000319 0.000669 0.001793 0.007481 0.160400
2025-05-18 0.000107 0.000179 0.000323 0.000694 0.001945 0.008974 0.325853